Small Probabilities and High Stakes

This Element examines how to weigh tiny probabilities of huge gains or losses in moral decision-making. It critiques both fanaticism and anti-fanaticism, defending a middle view: rationality allows flexibility while often requiring expected value reasoning, especially in real-world contexts.

Acest element examineaza modul de a evalua probabilitatile minuscule ale unor castiguri sau pierderi uriase in procesul decizional moral. Critica atat fanatismul, cat si antifanatismul, aparand o viziune de mijloc: rationalitatea permite flexibilitate, necesitand adesea rationament bazat pe valori asteptate, in special in contexte din lumea reala.